Compartir
Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (Statistics in Practice) (en Inglés)
O Hagan (Autor)
·
Wiley
· Tapa Dura
Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (Statistics in Practice) (en Inglés) - O Hagan
$ 121.980
$ 203.300
Ahorras: $ 81.320
Elige la lista en la que quieres agregar tu producto o crea una nueva lista
✓ Producto agregado correctamente a la lista de deseos.
Ir a Mis Listas
Origen: Estados Unidos
(Costos de importación incluídos en el precio)
Se enviará desde nuestra bodega entre el
Lunes 12 de Agosto y el
Lunes 19 de Agosto.
Lo recibirás en cualquier lugar de Chile entre 1 y 3 días hábiles luego del envío.
Reseña del libro "Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (Statistics in Practice) (en Inglés)"
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: * Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. * Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. * Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. * Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. * Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.
- 0% (0)
- 0% (0)
- 0% (0)
- 0% (0)
- 0% (0)
Todos los libros de nuestro catálogo son Originales.
El libro está escrito en Inglés.
La encuadernación de esta edición es Tapa Dura.
✓ Producto agregado correctamente al carro, Ir a Pagar.
